Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000109 0.000120 0.000132 0.000145 0.000160 0.000176 0.000195
2026-01-25 0.000086 0.000102 0.000120 0.000143 0.000170 0.000202 0.000242
2026-02-01 0.000073 0.000091 0.000113 0.000142 0.000180 0.000226 0.000289
2026-02-08 0.000063 0.000082 0.000107 0.000140 0.000185 0.000245 0.000330
2026-02-15 0.000055 0.000075 0.000100 0.000137 0.000188 0.000259 0.000365
2026-02-22 0.000051 0.000071 0.000098 0.000138 0.000197 0.000282 0.000414
2026-03-01 0.000047 0.000068 0.000096 0.000141 0.000208 0.000307 0.000470
2026-03-08 0.000043 0.000063 0.000092 0.000137 0.000209 0.000319 0.000505
2026-03-15 0.000038 0.000058 0.000086 0.000133 0.000207 0.000326 0.000533
2026-03-22 0.000036 0.000055 0.000085 0.000134 0.000215 0.000348 0.000588
2026-03-29 0.000034 0.000054 0.000084 0.000135 0.000223 0.000371 0.000647
2026-04-05 0.000032 0.000051 0.000081 0.000133 0.000225 0.000383 0.000688
2026-04-12 0.000030 0.000049 0.000079 0.000133 0.000231 0.000406 0.000752
2026-04-19 0.000028 0.000046 0.000076 0.000131 0.000234 0.000420 0.000804
2026-04-26 0.000026 0.000044 0.000074 0.000131 0.000239 0.000442 0.000872
2026-05-03 0.000024 0.000042 0.000072 0.000129 0.000241 0.000456 0.000926
2026-05-10 0.000022 0.000039 0.000069 0.000126 0.000240 0.000466 0.000973
2026-05-17 0.000021 0.000038 0.000068 0.000127 0.000248 0.000493 0.001061
2026-05-24 0.000021 0.000037 0.000068 0.000130 0.000258 0.000527 0.001167
2026-05-31 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000127 0.000257 0.000536 0.001217
2026-06-07 0.000018 0.000033 0.000062 0.000122 0.000253 0.000538 0.001252
2026-06-14 0.000017 0.000032 0.000061 0.000123 0.000261 0.000567 0.001356
2026-06-21 0.000017 0.000032 0.000061 0.000125 0.000269 0.000598 0.001471